My Pages
Monday, 12 July 2010
Thought Picnic: The warped doctrine of 72 virgins
Thursday, 19 November 2009
Somali woman mercilessly stoned to death
This Islam is strange
This aspect of Islam is one I find so unfamiliar and devoid of any iota humanity, it loses the real function of religion and lets a kind of evil barbarity lose on a hapless people.
A 20-year old “adulteress” was stoned in Somalia [1] whilst her boyfriend was given 100 lashes of the blessed rod for his sins.
Sometimes I wonder who gives the judges the domineering influence over people to the extent that they can take life without mercy on the premise of the adherence to a religion or creed.
My Muslim heritage
At the risk of being labelled as someone who does not understand the vagaries of Islam or Sharia law, it is really beside the point that I do have a Muslim heritage in that my paternal grandfather was Muslim and so is my uncle.
If I ever met any two people who ooze with humanity, compassion and humility, I would put those two Muslims at the front of the line, so it really baffles me when I hear of these rather heinous acts of crime and punishment procedures that terrorise people in conformity rather than persuade of them of a goodly situation.
Does Sharia law know mercy?
This was a 20-year old girl who really could have been mercifully forgiven, put under the care of a matriarch who could help her mend her “immoral” ways and make her a better citizen in the society in which she lives.
In fact, the harbingers of “real” Sharia law whose outlook does not include the concept of leniency surely should in their prayers for mercy and forgiveness to God not expect to find any mercy from the god they worship, who in their minds allows for this kind of violence in the name of justice and purity.
Casting the first stone
What I even find most primitive as to label it Neanderthal is that they can find people who would willingly pick up stones and stone a half-buried woman to death with all the blood, screaming and goriness of it all – is our humanity really that inured to any feeling that people cannot for once constrain themselves and jointly appeal for some sympathy?
At this point one wishes there were a Rabbi like in the times of Jesus [2] who whilst not condoning the adulteress highlighted the fact that sin is sin, from the little white lie to the seemingly egregious act of adultery. He sanctioned the punishment of stoning but asked that the one without sin cast the first stone – even amongst the most pious of the adherents in Somalia, none can be so pure to have been able to cast the first stone.
Entertained with death
In what can only be a kind of bizarre sense of satisfaction, no men ever get stoned for adultery – women always seem to get the rotten end of justice – as if the public enjoy the wail of death as the woman’s blood gets splattered all over the ground and the judges applaud themselves for having such great control over the people.
The last thought in this matter should be deep enough for anyone to understand and it must be true for all intents and purposes in this world and hereafter. “They who show no mercy, no matter what cause they stand for; deserve no mercy ever.”
Sources
[1] BBC News : Somali woman stoned for adultery
[2] John 8:3-11 - Passage Lookup - New Living Translation - BibleGateway.com
Wednesday, 20 June 2007
A Closer Look at the Failed States Index - Sudan is really worse than Iraq
Assess before debunking
Having reviewed a few comments on the Failed States Report for 2007, I have decided that it is important to pay a bit more attention to the detail of the figures because certain sceptical views are beginning to pick away that the generalisations.
There is one thought that contends that the methodology is primitive and does not measure up to the standard of metrics used to rate universities, but can that really be the case?
One however can understand that it is difficult to accept that Sudan is more a failed state than either Iraq or Somalia, maybe, but we need to look more at what is being rated.
The Fund For Peace organisation has exposed 12 indicators on which they have based the scoring that has resulted in the rankings we see.
Beneath these broad 12 indicators are some sub-levels of analysis which would have weighted averages; these are all computed using their copyrighted (Conflict Assessment System Tool) CAST methodology and patented CAST software.
The CAST methodology derives most of its information sources from the Thomsen Dialog which is a collection of over 900 databases packing over 15 terabytes of content aggregated from reputable publishers, including news feeds, broadcast transcripts, articles from newspapers and magazines, financial analysis information, references, and research and technical data - this reference in Wikipedia has a postscript seeking balance for this assertion.
This huge database of databases has been piling on data since 1966 and it well predates the Internet as the first online information retrieval system.
The Methodology
The Methodology consists of 5 steps which are followed in chronological order, the detail of which you can follow through from the links below.
This step is as detailed as represented below for Rwanda, a monthly breakdown of each indicator.
Assessing the Core Five
Identifying STINGS
Building a Conflict Map
The STINGS make interesting reading covering unexpected scenarios that could impact on conflict assessment, I reproduce that below.
STINGS is an acronym used here to describe:
Surprises (e.g., currency collapse)
Triggers (e.g., assassinations, coup d'etats)
Idiosyncrasies (e.g., non-contiguous territory, a deference to authority)
National Temperaments (e.g., cultural or religious perspectives)
Spoilers (e.g., disgruntled followers, excluded parties)
The data set that goes in the whole calculation is computed monthly and laid in a chart is illustrated below.
There are probably a few black arts in deriving a final conflict perspective of and country, but I would be the first to suggest that this all thing does look a bit thorough.
Believing Data or Perception
Now, anyone could probably argue and win the premise that Sudan cannot be more of a failed state than either Iraq or Somalia, I would contend that the data reads a lot different from perception.
Looking at the 12 indicators against the data for the three countries, certain facts become clearer.
The Dirty Dozen
Social Indicators
I-1. Mounting Demographic Pressures
I-2. Massive Movement of Refugees or Internally Displaced Persons creating Complex Humanitarian Emergencies
I-3. Legacy of Vengeance-Seeking Group Grievance or Group Paranoia
I-4. Chronic and Sustained Human Flight
Economic Indicators
I-5. Uneven Economic Development along Group Lines
I-6. Sharp and/or Severe Economic Decline
Political Indicators
I-7. Criminalization and/or Delegitimization of the State
I-8. Progressive Deterioration of Public Services
I-9. Suspension or Arbitrary Application of the Rule of Law and Widespread Violation of Human Rights
I-10. Security Apparatus Operates as a "State Within a State"
I-11. Rise of Factionalized Elites
I-12. Intervention of Other States or External Political Actors
The comparison
The scores for the top 3 failed states show a variation of just 2.2%, though no margin of error is specified, typical consumer awareness studies would accommodate a margin of error of ± 3.0% meaning there is hardly a cigarette paper between these three states.
|
|
| I-1 | I-2 | I-3 | I-4 | I-5 | I-6 | I-7 | I-8 | I-9 | I-10 | I-11 | I-12 | Total |
| 1 | Sudan | 9.2 | 9.8 | 10 | 9 | 9.1 | 7.7 | 10 | 9.5 | 10 | 9.9 | 9.7 | 9.8 | 113.7 |
| 2 | Iraq | 9 | 9 | 10 | 9.5 | 8.5 | 8 | 9.4 | 8.5 | 9.7 | 10 | 9.8 | 10 | 111.4 |
| 3 | Somalia | 9.2 | 9 | 8.5 | 8 | 7.5 | 9.2 | 10 | 10 | 9.7 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 111.1 |
However, one just has to review in detail the country profiles of the said countries to see clearly why the numbers have turned up this way.
For instance, I-2 - Sudan already has over 2 million internally displaced people, Iraq has only just topped 730,000, I-3 - There is clear group grievance between the Shias and Sunnis as Al Qaeda operatives fuel the conflict, the situation in Sudan is between Blacks and the Arabs along with the atrocities of the Janjaweed, however, this is not as pronounced in Somalia. I-9 - Politically, Iraq has more of a government apparatus than either Sudan or Somalia and the human rights record of Sudan is definitely worse than that of both Iraq and Somalia.
At 1-12 - Iraq and Somalia have been invaded by the Coalition Forces and Ethiopia respectively, Sudan has skirmishes with Chad in the border areas and the peace keeping forces are in Sudan by grudging permission of the government in Khartoum.
Conclusion
It is incumbent on the all who develop an opinion on the Failed States Index to study the detail of how these figures came about before they are dismissed outright because of the uncomfortable reading they represent.
It may not be beyond reasonable doubt, but I do not have alternative empirical evidence to dispute these findings apart from acquired perception, neither do I want to be caught by the same bug that bit many regarding the Nigerian Census where people plucked figures out of the air to support there pre-conceptions whilst ignoring the data.
I would hope having an alternative source of global information quite separate from government organs like the CIA and the UN should give us more confidence to see beyond some force globalisation or imperialism painting the Dark Continent even a darker shade of black.
Tuesday, 9 January 2007
War on terror - Where suspects have no recourse
Verify before pulling the trigger
The reporting of news does get to me as nothing seems to be definitive and a lot seems to be assumptive.
Now we hear that suspected Al Qaeda elements have been attacked and bombed out on the border between
If one person is being targeted and many more are being wiped out, the justification begins to find no basis in good humanitarian analysis.
In Iraq, we also hear that alleged insurgents were attacked and killed by Iraqi and coalition forces, we might well find out something to the contrary, no one can tell.
We can change the popular saying of Ronald Reagan and say, “Distrust, but verify” – however, hawks would contend that leaving suspects or alleged terrorists to dig in their trenches could lead to the preventable loss of Iraqi and coalition forces lives.
My concern really is predicated on this pre-emptive propensity to obliterate with overwhelming force using suspect and sketchy intelligence before ascertaining that what was intended has been verifiably fulfilled. Friendly fire comes to mind, and the only friendliness is the opportunity to cover up an error that has involved killing comrades in arms.