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Showing posts with label foreign. Show all posts
Showing posts with label foreign. Show all posts

Friday, 2 June 2006

Morphing into Texan Bambi

Events prevent focus

A number of international political events have occurred over the last few weeks that I am only beginning to get a grasp of what really is going on.

Beyond the cacophony of the Iranian nuclear stand-off; the deafening silence in the North Korean nuclear bunker; the earth shaking tragedies of Indonesia to the news-filling but insignificant East Timor riots; the rickety cabinet in Iraq with the main planks of Defence and Interior not properly fitted or the rape of Zimbabwe where inflation has hit 4 figures.

The world has been busy with people being moved around like pawns in a chess game that has more pieces than the board can contain.

Initially, we had the first female foreign minister from the United Kingdom, the safe pair of hands of Mrs Margaret Beckett – heralding a deft touch of taking the macho out of the international arena and pairing up with Dr Condolezza Rice.

Much was read into this change, but in a time when the rhetoric about Iran was getting too uncomfortable for the markets and thinkers outside political circles, a change of this sort was welcome.

Leaving with nothing to explain

Just around that time, Porter Goss the Director of the CIA announced his sudden resignation to be replaced by a General whose department laid an onslaught on American civil liberties through the surveillance issue- well, it looked like a downturn.

This was complicated by the fact that Mr Goss left us with riddles that would morph into conspiracies about why he was leaving.

Mr Tony Blair then flew into Washington DC to meet with the POTUS (President of the United States), there was this press conference that went on for so long and some things were said that made one replay that segment till it was etched into the television screen.

Slanted thread for a life

In answer to a question about how they both felt about the war and the regrets they may have had – POTUS replied in contriteness that the Texan swagger acting out the Wild West bounty notices of “wanted dead or alive” could have been misinterpreted in other places of the world.

Well, we Europeans have formed more than just an opinion about Mr Bush, the threads in newgroups and blogs would do a moon-journey many times over, and this regret would obviate our prejudices and might just save lives too.

This was not looking like a “lame duck” president anymore, rather a more human “lovable Bambi” – cynicism would have allowed one to think this was early electioneering, but maybe this is really genuine.

A Conversation in conversions

Considering the deep religious convictions of both men, the Road to Damascus could as well be between the Oval Office and the room where the press conference took place – no doubt there was a visitation of sorts.

Then, the announcement that the chairman of Goldman Sachs is to replace the current Secretary of the Treasury, this was considered a major coup; getting one of the highest flyers on Wall Street to take on one of the most prestigious jobs in the cabinet.

The significance of that did not dawn on me till I heard first, that the United States would now talk to Iran [1] – well, I can remember writing about the need to talk, not too long ago [2] – that in my book is an Excellent grade in Diplomacy 101.

The thaw means no snow

Then yesterday, we heard that the 6 nations now, dealing with Iran about the nuclear crisis have new sweets, carrots and incentives to offer Iran.

Suddenly, a thawing or relations and the “cold war” has given way to some warmth – Did I say, that name of the departing Secretary to the Treasury was John W. Snow?

Well, wherever all the warmth came from, it looks like it would be a summer to remember. It looks like the right response to Iran’s letter to the POTUS.

References

[1] US prepared to negotiate with Iran

[2] America! Your move

Tuesday, 2 May 2006

The Coalition of the Unviable

An appallingly truthful report
“We are pleased to present…” they said, I am utterly appalled I thought as I read the BBC headlines.
I have just been reading the Failed States Index 2006 produced by US Foreign Policy magazine and the US-based Fund for Peace think-tank, it does make interesting reading as it rates states or nations according to their viability.
Weep for the Rotten Criteria
Twelve criteria feature in this index as follows:
1.      Mounting demographic pressures
2.      Massive movement of refugees and internally displaced peoples
3.      Legacy of vengeance - seeking group grievance
4.      Chronic and sustained human flight
5.      Uneven economic development along group lines
6.      Sharp and/or severe economic decline
7.      Criminalisation and delegitimisation of the state
8.      Progressive deterioration of public services
9.      Widespread violation of human rights
10.  Security apparatus as "state within a state"
11.  Rise of factionalised elites
12.  Intervention of other states or external actors
United in mischief and more
The United States is ensconced in 128th position being less viable than France, The United Kingdom and even Chile.
They reckon this must be due to the fact that there are mounting demographic pressures; probably the politics, the oil, the environment and all that is between creates significant discord.
Hurricane Katrina has definitely dealt a blow in this matter, since they score a 6 with regards to the massive movement or it was the massive immobility of internally displaced people who probably would never return to New Orleans sadly.
In our era of great American efficiencies and globalisation that is being force-fed to anyone who has an ear, the American Dream is turning into an nightmare for those caught on the negative side of uneven economic development.
It excludes people from opportunity, good health, rigorous justice and the enforcement of their constitutional rights.
Then the widespread violation of human rights where a score of 5 might include the abuse of the executive prerogative in the surveillance of Americans and the presence of the Guantanamo Aberration.
The Coalition of the Unviable
Besides these American failings, strong American allies or piles of mess feature in the Top 10 with Iraq (4), Afghanistan (9) and Nuclear Pakistan (10), barely Nuclear Iran comes in at 53 excelling by not being in sharp or severe economic decline.
I would contend if there were way of measuring viability also in relation to the havoc the primary country wreaks elsewhere, America should feature closer to its allies in the coalition of the unviable.
Nigeria as the most populous African country is where the debate about an at-present unconstitutional third term quest by the President flies in at number 22.
Having paid off most of their debt, they are host to many issues in the criteria that the government has done little to ameliorate.
Players, not Doers
As it were, many are big international players and poor internal doers.
It is however poignant to note that only 10 states do not have the influence of some intervention of other states or actors – Welcome to Earth – Chaos Reigns where people fail.